NFL 2014 Player Prop Bet Odds – Passing, Receiving and Rushing Yards
BetAnySports has released its NFL betting odds for three of the most popular player props; most passing, receiving and rushing yards. The key to betting player props such as these is finding the players that have been undervalued in their betting odds. These odds are usually based on past performance as opposed to future potential so I am basing my picks on three players that are poised for a breakout year.
You know that quarterbacks like New Orleans’ Drew Brees (+200) and Denver’s Peyton Manning (+270) are going to throw for a ton of yards this season, but I am going a bit further down the list to Matthew Stafford’s +650 odds to end up at the top of this list in 2014. Looking back at last year’s totals he finished third behind Manning and Brees with 4,650 yards. The season before he threw for 4,967 yards and in his third season in the league in 2012 he ended the year with 5,038 passing yards. This consistency coupled with the addition of tight end Eric Ebron with the 10th overall pick in the draft sets the stage for some even bigger numbers in 2014.
Stafford’s biggest target over the past few seasons has been wide receiver Calvin Johnson, who has been listed as a +250 favorite to win the receiving yards title. You cannot go wrong with this pick at those odds, but I am going to stretch them a bit longer with a play on Atlanta wide receiver Julio Jones at +800. The Falcons are coming off a dismal 4-12 campaign after winning 13 games the season before. Quarterback Matt Ryan had his worst year as a pro mainly because Jones missed 11 games due to injury. With tight end Tony Gonzalez retired, the duo of Ryan to Jones is ready to light things up in 2014.
Minnesota’s Adrian Peterson rushed for over 2000 yards in 2012 to blow this category away and last season LeSean McCoy posted 1,607 yards on the ground for Philadelphia to win the 2013 rushing title. The odds that one of these two players win the rushing title this season are set at +300, but given just how hard it is to repeat in this category, I am going with Tampa Bay running back Doug Martin at +1450 as my pick to win the title this year. As a rookie, he rushed for 1,454 yards so the potential is certainly there. His sophomore season was cut short due to a shoulder injury, but he comes into this season healthy and ready to go. Given the state of a Tampa Bay’s pass offense that was ranked last in the league in 2013, Martin should have plenty of opportunity to rack up the yards.
